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��Cardiff v Leeds
Sunday June 21, 12:00
Sky SportsCardiff challenging for the prime-six
Cardiff began 2019/20 with aspirations of an instant return to the Premier League. Neil Warnock declared, "this is most likely the very best Championship team I've ever managed" following a flurry of eye-catching arrivals in June and the Welsh club were keen to flex their muscles getting put on a competitive leading-flight effort that in the end ended in relegation.
With the club consumed by the Emiliano Sala tragedy, plus the physical and emotional strain that Warnock shouldered, on-field results suffered and the two parties agreed to mutually portion ways in November. With the Bluebirds squad requiring evolution rather than revolution, Neil Harris was appointed with the side sitting seven points outdoors the best-six.
Cardiff have returned W8-D9-L4 under Harris' tutorship and the former Millwall boss believes his side have turn out to be promotion challengers capable of competing with the ideal in the Championship. The hosts now sit only two points adrift of the play-off locations and have important duo Lee Tomlin and Nathaniel Mendez-Laing fit and offered once again for selection.
Leeds in pole position
No group has dominated the Championship very like Leeds under Marcelo Bielsa. The Whites finished best of the tree across all the main performance data metrics during the Argentine's debut campaign in English football, only for a spectacular and gut-wrenching collapse in the final fortnight denying the Elland Road outfit with the finishing line in sight.
The current campaign has followed a familiar pattern Leeds have picked up exactly where they left off, major the league, monopolising possession, carving out gluts of goalscoring possibilities and limiting the harm defensively. At occasions Bielsa's boys still lack a killer instinct in the final-third, although the intensity and stranglehold on games remain unquestionable.
Leeds aren't expected to make significant changes ahead of the restart. Key midfielder Kalvin Phillips is fit enough to return and ought to take up the holding role in Bielsa's 4-1-4-1 technique with Gaetano Berardi anticipated to drop down to the bench. Doubts surround the fitness of January signing Jean-Kevin Augustin, although goalkeeper Kiko Casilla remains suspended.
Whites odds-on favourites in Wales
Cardiff have enjoyed 3 wins from 4 unbeaten league fixtures against Leeds (W3-D1-L0) given that September 2016. The stalemate arrived earlier in the season when the Bluebirds managed to burgle a share of the spoils at Elland Road in a thrilling three-three draw regardless of trailing by 3 objectives with only half-an-hour left to play.
Cardiff [5.20] have picked up six draws in their final eight league games on house soil (W1-D6-D1) with the hosts also boasting a league-high 15 draws across the full campaign. The Bluebirds have been beaten only twice in the Welsh capital this term (W8-D8-L2) and suffered 4 defeats in 21 league fixtures under Neil Harris' watch (W8-D9-L4).
Leeds [1.76] were the Championship type group (W5-D1-L0) heading into the enforced break, recording five successive shutouts. The Whites have averaged 1.79 points on their travels, despite the fact that that figure drops drastically to .75 points per-game when going to clubs in 13th and above (W1-D3-L4), with that sole achievement arriving way back on the opening day.
Cardiff can be competitive
Cardiff and Leeds have enjoyed a few thrilling affairs in current seasons. The previous three head-to-heads have broken the Over three.five Ambitions barrier with both sides obtaining on the scoresheet in every single encounter. Over two.five Ambitions is rated as a 1.80 shot on Sunday though it could be worth opposing a goal-filled contest primarily based on the duos 2019/20 performances.
Cardiff have delivered 6/10 Beneath two.five Objectives winners here under Neil Harris, with Leeds following suit in 12/19 (63%) road trips. Just 3 of those 19 away days featured 4 or far more targets and considering the early start time, plus the extended lay-off since preceding competitive football, the 1.91 available on Under two.5 Targets holds more appeal.
However, I'm going to play it slightly safer by dipping into Betfair Sportsbook's Same Game Multi and snapping up the 1.75 on Cardiff +two handicap and Beneath 3.five Objectives. Combining the two selections essentially allows us to back the following correct scores -, 1-1, 1-, two-, two-1, three-, as nicely as -1 and 1-two triumphs in Leeds' favour. It really is a wager that is won in 24/38 (63%) of the two teams' respective property/away contests this season.

��Kind favours Genuine Madrid against Champions League chasersReal Sociedad [four.3] v Genuine Madrid [1.8] The Draw [four.three]
Sunday 21 June, 21:00
Live on LaLigaTV and Betfair Reside Video
Genuine Madrid's title quest continues with an away trip to a Real Sociedad side aiming to finish in the prime four.
This is 1 of Madrid's most challenging remaining fixtures, as they try to overcome the two point advantage that the La Liga leaders Barcelona hold. However it really is fair to say that it no longer appears fairly as daunting as it did ahead of the season restarted. True Madrid have returned in fine form, while Sociedad have struggled and slipped out of the Champions League qualification positions.
On Thursday evening, Genuine hosted Valencia. The guests played quite nicely in the first-half and had a goal disallowed for offside, but Madrid ultimately took control of an exciting game and won three-.
Karim Benzema scored two of the goals, with his second and Real's third, becoming of especially high good quality. His partnership with Eden Hazard is actually blossoming and Madrid appear a considerably greater side now than they have been pre-lockdown.
The very same is not correct of Actual Sociedad. They restarted the season in fourth, but have slipped down to sixth. With fourth placed Atletico Madrid only two points ahead, they are nevertheless quite a lot in the hunt for the Champions League, but their kind wants to boost fast.
A home draw with Osasuna was followed on Thursday by a two- loss at Alaves. Each of these opponents are in mid-table and represent the sort of teams that Sociedad should be beating, with trickier fixtures still to come.
This match definitely falls into this category. Actual Sociedad's league position and prior form sees Madrid obtainable at a pretty chunky value and it really is worth backing Zinedine Zidane's side to win at [1.8].
Challenging to see why Celta Vigo are favourites
Celta Vigo [two.] v Alaves [4.eight] The Draw [three.3]
Sunday 21 June, 13:00
Reside on LaLigaTV and Betfair Live Video
Celta Vigo are badly in want of a win when they host Alaves in the Sunday lunchtime kick off in Spain.
They sit only 1 location and two points above the relegation zone. They have only picked up a single point from a attainable six since the season resumed, with Wednesday's - draw at Valladolid marking their fourth consecutive game with no scoring a aim.
It's difficult to see why Celta Vigo are so short against an Alaves side that have just claimed an impressive win against Real Sociedad. Alaves are huge enough that you can back them to avoid defeat in the Double Likelihood market and nonetheless get odds of [1.98].
Valencia will finally get a win
Valencia [2.00] v Osasuna [four.] The Draw [three. free soccer picks six]
Sunday 21 June, 18:30
Live on LaLigaTV and Betfair Live Video
Valencia are without a win because the season restarted (P2 D1 L1), but their performances suggest that they won't have to wait for long.
They conceded an injury time equaliser in their opener against Levante and can be proud of their efficiency against True Madrid. The initial-half of that match was really equal, till Madrid's further class eventually told.
If they can match that level of performance they must win this match against an Osasuna group that have just been thrashed 5- at property by Atletico Madrid. Valencia's price of [two.00] to claim three points looks generous.

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��No hope for PaderbornBet 1: Back Fortuna Dusseldorf @ 19/20 - KO 19:30 GMT
The hosts currently occupy the relegation play-off location in the Bundesliga, but they have a wonderful chance to close the gap on Mainz 05 above them.
The guests to Merkur Spielarena this evening are bottom of the league, Paderborn, who have taken just one particular point from their last six outings - losing their last 4.
Uwe R�sler's Dusseldorf have really lost just 1 of their final six in the league, and even though they drew a lot of instances during that period, they must be in a position to take all three points here.
A big win for the Cottagers
Bet 2: Back Fulham @ 17/ten - KO 19:45 GMT
It really is third versus fourth in the Championship at Craven Cottage tonight and I am siding with the house team.
Scott Parker's males have taken eight points from a attainable 12 of late, which is not too poor at all in this division. Tellingly, they have won four of their final five on this ground.
Brentford ended a five match winless run in emphatic style against Sheffield Wednesday last Saturday, but that was at Griffin Park, and they have won just twice from their final 10 on the road.
Lyon to be left frustrated
Bet 3: Back The Draw in Lyon v Reims @ 23/10 - KO 19:45 GMT
Lyon are enduring a bit of a disappointing campaign, as last year's third placed finishers, are only seventh this time about.
They could climb to fifth with a win this evening, but they have lost their final two in all competitions, and their opponents are proving hard to beat this term.
Reims are fifth in Ligue A single, getting lost just 25% of their matches. They are four unbeaten - two wins and two draws - and they have achieved optimistic outcomes in four of their final 5 away from property - three of which have been draws.

��Kemar RoachKemar Roach is the most reputable punting prospect in Test cricket. Neglect all the large names, no matter whether they be batters or bowlers, no-one can come close to Roach's extraordinary win rate - an astonishing 50%.
Accurate, in the past Roach has had small to beat on the top West Indies bowler industry. But the 31-year-old is a master with new ball and old, a whippy, elastic action creating pace and bounce which regularly surprises the opposition in spite of getting played 56 Tests.
Roach's outstanding hit rate is gathered from the last two-and-a-bit years of information when, in reality, there has been powerful competitors in the Windies pace ranks. The dewy-eyed have virtually (but not fairly) been ready to hark back to the great old days. Shannon Gabriel terrorised batsmen for a short while ahead of injury slowed his pace although Jason Holder has been a trustworthy performer. Gabriel, alas, is recovering from ankle surgery and is unlikely to function in the Test series against England subsequent month.
The great news is that Roach, as attack leader, will make the trip. It will be interesting to see how short he is priced for best bowler for game 1 in Southampton on July eight but it will be a query of how low Betfair Sportsbook are prepared to go. The excellent news is that it will not be close to the even money his record suggests he deserves.
Pat Cummins
'Just Back Pat', inspired by Alan Partridge's self-serving 'Just Sack Pat' mantra, is one of punting life's guidelines which can be relied on. Despite becoming recognised as the world's ideal quick bowler by the ICC on their official rankings, he nevertheless prices as worth.

Cummins has a 30% win price on the leading initial-innings bowler market. His most current win was against New Zealand at the MCG in December. In a crowded marketplace - Mitchell Starc, Josh hazlewood and Nathan Lyon may possibly fancy themselves to be component of this list - Cummins comes out on prime.
Of course the bookies know this. But they're not fairly brief adequate and we have been still obtaining 5/two throughout that Kiwi series. That is the price for the notebook.
Ravi Ashwin
The last time we wrote about Ravi Ashwin was with our jaws on the floor. Betfair Sportsbook had priced him up at four/1 to be leading India bowler against West Indies in the very first Test at North Sound last year. By our data (how many instances he really wins) he must have been 13/eight.
But they knew anything we did not. Ashwin didn't even get the likelihood to win. India didn't even choose him, preferring Ravi Jadeja who, at the time, had one leading bowler win in his preceding nine Tests. He is now 1 in 17.
Ashwin, of course, has returned to the XI and has notched two much more wins, bringing down his win rate to 33. best bets nba three%. With that record behind him and with Jasprit Bumrah (oh appear, he's on our overrated list) taking up a massive chunk of the book we can pile into anything larger than two/1.
On residence pitches, the margin is going to be tighter but you're most likely tos till be in play. Away from property, nonetheless, is exactly where the massive numbers come up and we can make hay.

Neil Wagner and Tim Southee
Like Cummins, there is one thing reassuring about our list dovetailing with the ICC rankings. Wagner and Southee are at Nos two and 4 respectively.
But they do not take favourite status when it comes to best New Zealand bowler. That honour goes to Trent Boult. Boult is not overrated or underrated. His price of about five/two is slightly also skinny but, in fairness, it really is pretty considerably bang on. Boult has win price of 25%, Wagner 33% and Southee 31%.
With Boult so well-liked - punters are wowed by that explosive pace and swing and the possible for him to rip via a best order - Wagner and Southee are pushed out to ther 3/1 mark. Both tick the worth box.
How do we make up our thoughts amongst the two? college football betting lines Simple. On something quick and bouncy, Wagner is your man. If the ball is anticipated to swing, Southee will be to the fore.
As ever, there is a fly in the soothing ointment. The emergence of beanpole bowling all-rounder Kyle Jamieson could undo all our information work. 1 to watch for confident.
***
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��When the Covid-19 lockdown was imposed, the Tour Championship was actually a final minute casualty, as the snooker authorities left postponement to the last feasible moment. Following the sport's productive return at the Championship League, it will now start off on Saturday.The same social distancing guidelines will apply at the exact same Marshall Arena venue in Milton Keynes. A single essential distinction with the earlier strategy is that Ding Junhui has withdrawn, replaced by Stephen Maguire.
Lengthy matches need to theoretically assist the favourites
This finale of the Coral Cup series is an eight-man knockout event, primarily based on the one particular year ranking list. Matches are played more than very best of 17 frames until the final, which will be ideal of 19.
Longer matches mean the formbook is likelier to stand up than usual, even though very what that formbook really entails is an open query. Only 4 of these played in the Championship League and, of those, only Judd Trump progressed previous the opening group stage.
Marketplace top duo in exact same half of the draw
If we are functioning on wider, previous form, the draw seems rather lop-sided. We try to steer clear of tipping brief odds-on chances on these pages but 8/15 about the prime half winning is fairly solid.
Trump and Neil Robertson are significantly ahead of the rest, but will meet in the semi-final if both progressing this weekend. That somewhat dampens my enthusiasm for an outright bet on either at odds of [2.7] and [four.7].
Neil Robertson v Stephen Maguire
I do count on that will be the case. Both were reportedly practising during lockdown and, whilst they were beaten in that somewhat random format last week, didn't appear in terrible touch. Robertson for example made a lot of blunders in 12 frames played, but also hit three centuries plus a 90.
Maguire truly leads their head-to-head 12-8 and has often developed his greatest snooker against this opponent. Their matches have typically been classics.
That should guard against taking [1.28] against the Aussie but I do expect him to progress. Maguire only got into this occasion at late notice so there have to be a question mark about his preparation. I am backing Robbo to win 9-three or 9-four.
Back Neil Robertson to beat Stephen Maguire 9-three 1u @ [eight.]
Back Neil Robertson to beat Stephen Maguire 9-4 1u @ [six. football picks against the spread eight]
Judd Trump v John Higgins
This is a repeat of last year's planet final. Once again, I have serious doubts about no matter whether Higgins will arrive in very good kind. He has routinely struggled in January, following a Christmas break from the game, and is usually seen to very best impact following lots of match practice.
Trump didn't hit such breakbuilding heights but did win 14 frames out of a attainable 22. The planet champion and number one begins massive favourite against any individual these days and won all four of their encounters over the previous 13 months. Take [1.78] about him beating the 2.five Frame Handicap.
Back Judd Trump to win the two.5 Frame Handicap 8u @ [1.78]
Mark Selby v Yan Bingtao
Favourite amongst the bottom half, Selby hinted that he had been practising ahead of the resumption, but it did not show in his performances. Frankly, whilst he has bundles of pedigree more than longer matches, I just never trust him these days and he appears below-priced for every single tournament.
Pre-lockdown, Bingtao was in fine, progressive kind, reaching the final of the Players Championship and semis of the Welsh Open. We can only guess about his practice levels but one would hope that a youngster, with everything still to prove, will have taken each and every accessible opportunity. [two.88] about the upset right here is fair worth.
Back Yan Bingtao 3u @ [2.88]
Shaun Murphy vs Mark Allen
The head-to-head stats amongst these two fairly nicely-matched main winners may surprise - Murphy leads 13-five. He would also be nicely ahead on pre-lockdown type. That validates odds of [1.63] about the Englishman but I'm loathe to take such quick odds given that he did not play in the Championship League. As well a lot guesswork.
The bet I like right here is More than 2.five Centuries at Evens. Scoring was extremely effortless on these tables in Milton Keynes final week and we saw dozens of century breaks, regardless of players coming in cold. Each of these are heavy scorers even when not in tip-best kind.
Back More than 2. nfl picks against the spread five Centuries 3u @ [2.]

Adhere to Paul on Twitter @paulmotty